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Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.Market News: The Bank of Japan will consider not raising interest rates at its next policy meeting.

ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.The annual evaluation report of the big model in the financial field was released, and the big model of Step Star/Fortune Leap Star performed well. The 6th Shanghai International Forum on Financial Technology was held in Shanghai. At the meeting, Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, together with Shanghai University of Finance and Economics and Shanghai Cooper Technology Co., Ltd., released the Report on Evaluation of Large Models in Financial Field (2024), which comprehensively evaluated 20 models from five dimensions: model basic ability, financial security and value alignment ability, financial risk control ability, financial professional cognitive ability and financial business auxiliary expansion ability. The comprehensive scores of Anthropic, Step Star/Fortune Star and Alibaba ranked in the top three. Step-2-16k model of Step Star/Fortune Star got the second comprehensive score, and the multi-modal comprehensive score of Finstep model got the first.[The yield of 30-year treasury bonds fell below the 2% mark, and the active bonds of 30-year treasury bonds fell below 2% by 4.26bp, reaching 1.9999% as of press time.

Meijin Energy has set up a new coal washing company with 100 million yuan. According to the enterprise investigation APP, Shanxi Meijin Taiyue Coal Washing Co., Ltd. was recently established, with Wu Yong as the legal representative and a registered capital of 100 million yuan. Its business scope includes: coal washing; Sales of coal and products; Coal-based activated carbon and other coal processing. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by Meijin Energy.The merger of Guotai Junan Haitong Securities was approved by the shareholders' meeting, and the merger and reorganization of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities completed a key step. On the evening of December 13, the two companies simultaneously announced the resolutions of the shareholders' meeting. The merger and reorganization transaction plan and other related proposals were reviewed by the shareholders' meeting and passed by high votes. The merger and reorganization of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities is the first merger and reorganization of head brokers since the implementation of the new "National Nine Articles". It is also the largest A+H bilateral market merger and the largest integration case of listed brokers in the history of China capital market, and the largest M&A project in international investment banking since 2008, involving multi-business licenses and a number of domestic and foreign listed subsidiaries.Mitsubishi electric: We are discussing cooperation with Japanese domestic competitors to develop power chips. Qi Jianqi, president of mitsubishi electric, Japan, said in an interview that the company is discussing cooperation with Japanese domestic competitors to develop power chips. Qi Jianqi said that although the management widely supported the cooperation, the above discussion was blocked at the administrative level and no progress was made. Qi Jianqi pointed out that the power chip industry needs continuous technological innovation, and it is meaningful to cooperate while there is still a chance to win market share. "We should not compete with each other, but need to unite.".